There’s
been quite a good deal of discussion recently about (1) how we validate a
scientific fact (http://bit.ly/R8ruMg; http://bit.ly/T5JSJZ; http://bit.ly/xe0Rom), and (2) whether
psychology – and in particular some branches of psychology – are prone to
generate fallacious scientific knowledge (http://bit.ly/OCBdgJ;
http://bit.ly/NKvra6). As psychologists, we
are all trained (I hope) to be scientists – exploring the boundaries of
knowledge and trying as best we can’ to create new knowledge, but in many of
our attempts to pursue our careers and pay the mortgage, are we badly prone to
creating false knowledge? Yes – we probably are! Here are just a few examples,
and I challenge most of you psychology researchers who read this post to say
you haven’t been a culprit in at least one of these processes!
Here
are 10 ways to risk creating false knowledge in psychology.
1.
Create your own psychological
construct. Constructs can be very useful ways of summarizing and
formalizing unobservable psychological processes, but researchers who invent
constructs need to know a lot about the scientific process, make sure they
don’t create circular arguments, and must be in touch with other psychological
research that is relevant to the understanding they are trying to create. In
some sub-disciplines of psychology, I’m not sure that happens (http://bit.ly/ILDAa1).
2.
Do an experiment but make up or
severely massage the data to fit your hypothesis. This is an obvious
one, but is something that has surfaced in psychological research a good deal
recently (http://bit.ly/QqF3cZ; http://nyti.ms/P4w43q).
3.
Convince yourself that a
significant effect at p=.055 is real. How many times have psychologists
tested a prediction only to find that the critical comparison just misses the
crucial p=.05 value? How many times have psychologists then had another look at
the data to see if it might just be possible that with a few outliers removed
this predicted effect might be significant? Strangely enough, many published
psychology papers are just creeping past the p=.05 value – and many more than
would be expected by chance! Just how many false psychology facts has that
created? (http://t.co/6qdsJ4Pm).
4.
Replicate your own findings
using the same flawed procedure. Well, we’ve recently seen a flood of
blog posts telling us that replication is the answer to fraud and poor science.
If a fact can be replicated – then it must be a fact! (http://bit.ly/R8ruMg; http://bit.ly/xe0Rom) Well – no – that’s not
the case at all. If you are a fastidious researcher and attempt to replicate a
study precisely, then you are also likely to replicate the same flaws that gave
rise to false knowledge. We need to understand the reasons why problematic
research gives rise to false positives – that is the way to real knowledge (http://bit.ly/UchW4J).
5.
Use only qualitative methods.
I know this one will be controversial, but in psychology you can’t just accept
what your participants say! The whole reason why psychology has developed as a
science is because it has developed a broad range of techniques to access
psychological processes without having to accept at face value what a
participant in psychological research has to tell us. I’ve always argued that
qualitative research has a place in the development of psychological knowledge,
but it is in the early stage of that knowledge development and more objective
methodologies may be required to understand more proximal mechanisms.
6.
Commit your whole career to a
single effect, model or theory that has your name associated with it. Well,
if you’ve invested your whole career and credibility in a theory or approach,
then you’re not going to let it go lightly. You’ll find multiple ways to defend
it, even if it's wrong, and waste a lot of other researchers’ time and energy trying to disprove you.
Ways of understanding move on, just like time, and so must the intransigent
psychological theorist.
7.
Take a tried and tested
procedure and apply it to everything. Every now and then in psychology
a new procedure surfaces that looks too good to miss. It is robust, tells you something
about the psychological processes involved in a phenomenon, and you can get a
publication by applying it to something that no one else has yet applied it to!
So join the fashion rush – apply it to everything that moves, and some things
that don’t (http://bit.ly/SX37Sn). No I
wasn't thinking of brain imaging, but.... Hmmmm, let me think about that! (I
was actually thinking about the Stroop!)
8.
If your finding is rejected by
the first journal you submit it to, continue to submit it to journals until it’s
eventually published. This is a nice way to ensure that your
contribution to false knowledge will be permanently recorded. As academic
researchers we are all under pressure to publish (http://bit.ly/AsIO8B),
if you believe your study has some genuine contribution to make to
psychological science, then don’t accept a rejection from the first journal you
send it to. In fact, if you don’t think your study has any real contribution to
make to psychological knowledge at all, don’t accept a rejection from the first
journal you send it to! Because you will probably get it published somewhere.
I’d love to know what the statistics are on this, but I bet if you persist
enough, your paper will get published.
9.
Publish your finding in a book
chapter (non- peer reviewed), or an invited review, or a journal
special issue - all of which are likely to have an editorial "light touch”.
Well, if you do it might not get cited much (http://t.co/D55VKWDm),
but it’s a good way of getting dodgy findings (and dodgy theories) into the
public domain.
10.
Do some research on some highly
improbable effects - and hope that some turn up significant by chance.
(http://bit.ly/QsOQNo) And it won’t matter
that people can’t replicate it – because replications will only rarely get
published! (http://bit.ly/xVmmOv). The more
improbable your finding, the more newsworthy it will be, the more of a
celebrity you will become, the more people will try to replicate your research
and fail, the more you will be wasting genuine research time and effort. But it
will be your 15 minutes of fame!
Finally,
if you haven’t been able to generate false psychological knowledge through one
of these 10 processes, then try to get your finding included in an Introduction
to Psychology textbook. Once your study is enshrined in the good old Intro’ to
Psych’ text, then it’s pretty much going to be accepted as fact by at least one
and maybe two future generations of psychologists. And once an undergrad has
learnt a “fact”, it is indelibly inscribed on their brain and is faithfully
transported into future reality!
Follow me on Twitter at:
I've posted some thoughts here: http://discoveringstatistics.blogspot.co.uk/2012/10/you-cant-trust-your-phd-supervisor.html seemed a bit long to post as a response:)
ReplyDeleteExcellent post! Thanks for share.
ReplyDeleteI totally agree with you. This is a compilation of things that have kept on annoying us during the years of internet experience. really a wonderful post, you have pointed out some superb points , I as well think this is a very important fact nowadays.
ReplyDelete11: to make true the former 10. assertions, put them into a blog.
ReplyDeleteI dont think (good) qualitative researchers do just accept what their participants say at all, and reliance on p values whether they're above or below 0.05 is a notion that needs to be killed off immediately. If p values must be used, then I'd much rather we conceived of them as a measure of strength of evidence; in which case a p of 0.055 would represent reasonable strength of evidence (as would 0.035).
ReplyDeleteOh, but I did generally agree with the rest!
DeleteI don't agree that qualitative research is bad research. I think that it is important to understand the *limits* of any form of research. Qualitative research in psychology, just like quantitative research in psychology, just like any form of research in any field (I used to be a molecular biologist) does *not* tell you about the real world. It tells you what happened when this particular experiment was done in this particular way at this particular moment with this particular set of subjects. Everything beyond that is interpretation of data, and I completely agree with the importance of remaining humble and clear about what the data are saying.
ReplyDeleteWow…….enormous blog. Thank you for sharing. Five Tribes Therapy
ReplyDeleteHe says that personal intimacy directly affects our bodies, leading to a stronger immune system, Private psychologist
ReplyDelete